January TV and movies: Saltburn is a perverted thumbs up

Here’s what I watched in November and December.

In January, I watched:

2 eps of the live action Rurouni Kenshin remake — it adheres (very) closely to the original manga, so it’s simple nostalgic fun

Saltburn — a grotesque cleverly written brilliantly acted movie about British class privilege; Barry Keoghan is the UK Jesse Plemons

Caught up on the anime Zom100 — for me zombie content is the equivalent of 70% dark chocolate, I can’t stop consuming it; and a creative spin at that

First 2 eps of True Detective Season 4 — I’m reminded of Season 1 with its somewhat occult overtones; fun setting (eternally dark Alaskan winter)

Badland Hunters — Netflix Korean apocalyptic sci-fi; popcorn flick, and watchable thanks to Ma Dong-Seok

Random facts – things I learned (Jan 26 2024) – As Sam Altman wrote in 2017, “I believe the merge has already started, and we are a few years in”:

Some prior editions:

Random facts:

The price of inaction is far greater than the cost of making a mistake

I’ll always remember what Synthesis founder Chrisman Frank told me: “Still haven’t met anyone who has quit drinking and regretted it.”

Instead, playful exchanges produce trust, reciprocity, and VIBES—the ineffable group energy that squads value most

I think all the greatest minds that I’ve ever worked with share this in common: They have ultra-strong curiosity, he says

$250b of India’s GDP exports are essentially GPT-4 tokens… what happens now?

This is well documented in Vienna because it’s now widely known that Freud was doing dubious experiments on women. But now these experiments are basically commonplace psychiatry. We should be very afraid that a freakshow practice by weirdos in Vienna is now the mainstream way of understanding the mind across the western world. Freud is universally discredited, and yet is still core of so much in the modern era. It’s nuts

Barring cataclysms, I consider the development of intelligent machines a near-term inevitability. Rather quickly, they could displace us from existence. I’m not as alarmed as many, since I consider these future machines our progeny, “mind children” built in our image and likeness, ourselves in more potent form

As Sam Altman wrote in 2017, “I believe the merge has already started, and we are a few years in”:
Our phones control us and tell us what to do when; social media feeds determine how we feel; search engines decide what we think. The algorithms that make all this happen are no longer understood by any one person

Cancer hates mushrooms — 2/3 an ounce a day = 45% lower risk of cancer
“Mushrooms are like the swiss army knife for treating diseases.”

I see a lot of people with talent but the one thing they don’t have is that just love of doing it for the sake of it. — Rodney Mullen

China’s petrochemical sector will “add as much production capacity for ethylene and propylene – the two most important petrochemical building blocks – as presently exists in Europe, Japan and Korea combined.” Meanwhile, U.S. producers have increased exports of petrochemical feedstocks, intermediates, and polymers – more than three-quarters of the increase in production has gone to China. As a result, there is a new “symbiosis between the largest global source of demand growth – China – and the largest global source of supply growth – the United States

Korean saying, 3 things in life that are unavoidable = taxes, death, and Samsung

Neil Gaiman’s Masterclass
-Eventually he realized he had to start finishing them – the improvement was QUANTUM
-Whenever he’s stuck, he ask “what does my character want?” this is always your way through – you can put two of the strongest and most developed characters together, have them battle over what they want, discuss it, search for it, find it

Some view this regression phenomenon as the foundational policy of the crypto space: “whatever is permitted by the protocol’s code and market structure is legitimate.” This viewpoint, while rarely expressed in such direct terms, is remarkably common among crypto users

4chan started as a community for anime lovers; Inspired by Japanese forum + image board

Going to the gym when you don’t feel like it gives you the greatest high

When all these sensory and emotional tides have ceased to flow, then the spirit is free, mukta –at least for the time being. It has entered the state called samadhi. Samadhi can come and go; generally it can be entered only in a long period of meditation and after many years of ardent endeavor

Perpetual futures are like a never-ending lease on a car, while traditional futures are like a car rental with a fixed return date.

Token buyers will be to investors what bloggers/tweeters are to journalists: Tokens will break down the barrier between professional investors and token buyers in the same way that the internet brought down the barrier between professional journalists and tweeters and bloggers.

In real estate you make money on the buy not the sell

Educator Abraham Flexner traces the origins of discoveries, often born from curiosity rather than an aim for utility. “Throughout the whole history of science most of the really great discoveries which had ultimately proved to be beneficial to mankind had been made by men and women who were driven not by the desire to be useful but merely the desire to satisfy their curiosity.”

Before menopause, a woman is aging slower than a man by almost a decade – then menopause hits and it’s like falling off a cliff in terms of aging

If you think in terms of surface area, it’s easy to see why we are so anxious, stressed, and constantly behind.
We feel like we need more time, but what we’re craving is more focus. What we need is a smaller surface area.
Your surface area becomes part of your identity. She’s the ‘busy person’ with her hand in every project. He’s the guy with four houses.

Most of the really happy people I know have a relatively small surface area. I know billionaires with two houses. Most of my close friends only have 4-5 close friends – everyone else is a friend in the loose sense of the word. Most of the productive people I know at work are focused on one or two things, not 5.

Russians have been sad and resigned for thousands of years,” she replied. “It’s how we stay resilient. I’m against this war, but I can’t do anything but wait, like everyone else. They manipulate us with artificial ideas. Garbage. But the West has been humiliating us for too long. Don’t we also have a right to be who we want to be without feeling like barbarians?”

Seth Godin talks about how he changed his own negative self-talk by listening to Zig Ziglar tapes, for three hours a day, for three years. Similarly—but slightly different—Cathy Park Hong transcribed Richard Pryor’s audio and film performances.

On a similar note, this is also why the “beach episode” has become a staple in ACG works. Setting aside the fan service, these beach episodes typically don’t depict any major conflicts, and focus purely on showcasing interesting character moments. It’s not a stretch to deduce that this is also why westerners typically despise or eschew “filler episodes” that don’t advance a main conflict, while people in Japan / Asia tend to enjoy and appreciate them more

Breath control is emotional control

Globally, twice as many people die from suicide than from homicide. In Germany, 18x more people die from suicide than from homicide (primarily a result of low homicide rates).

The world’s best-scoring country in 1800 (Belgium, 33%) suffered from child mortality twice as high as the worst-scoring country today (Angola, 17%).

In an interview, Mr. Johnson said he didn’t care what present-day people thought of him. “I’m more interested in what people of the 25th century think of me,” he said. “The majority of opinions now represent the past.”

Road accidents cause 2.2% of deaths worldwide – more than malaria (1.1%), war (0.2%), and homicide (0.7%) combined.

Twelve thousand years ago, there were only 2.5 million people on earth: a quarter of the population of London today.

The unemployed are more likely to follow the peddlers of hope than the handers-out of relief.

I knew from the age of 13 that this is what I was gonna do until the day I died – Mr. Beast

@eshear
I don’t know who needs to hear this, but if you just listen and watch yourself talk enough, it stops feeling weird and cringe and starts feeling normal, like watching anyone else. You hear the actual content eventually.

Talk to a man about himself and he will listen for hours

Nothing beats funny – Will Smith

Circa the early 2000s, “internet safety” discussions revolved around first-order issues like identity theft, cybercrime and child exploitation. But with the benefit of hindsight, these direct concerns were swamped by the internet’s second-order effects on our politics and culture. Indeed, between an information tsunami and new platforms for mass mobilization, the internet destabilized political systems worldwide, even leading to outright regime change in the case of the Arab Spring.

There is also a privacy issue with Twttr. Every user has a public page that shows all of their messages. Messages from that person’s extended network are also public. I imagine most users are not going to want to have all of their Twttr messages published on a public website

It is not stress that harms us but distress.

“It makes me raise my level. If it doesn’t hurt a little bit, it’s because you don’t care enough.” – Holger Rune

I used to write infrequently, only when I had a free two- or three-hour block of time. Since this summer, however, I’ve started writing in 15-minute bursts, and have seen a huge benefit in both the quality and quantity of my work. Making use of each and every small fragment of time has improved my writing and editing processes, as well as my output

Han writes:
The complaint of the depressive individual, ‘Nothing is possible,’ can only occur in a society that thinks, ‘Nothing is impossible.’

As Nietzsche’s Zarathustra declares:
All of you who are in love with hectic work and whatever is fast, new, strange — you find it hard to bear yourselves, your diligence is escape and the will to forget yourself. If you believed more in life, you would hurl yourself less into the moment. But you do not have enough content in yourselves for waiting — not even for laziness!

as any old-time nethead will be quick to lecture you, the Internet was a lonely (but thrilling!) cultural backwater for two decades before it hit the media radar. A graph of the number of Internet hosts worldwide, starting in the 1960s, hardly creeps above the bottom line. Then, around 1991, the global tally of hosts suddenly mushrooms, exponentially arcing up to take over the world.

Charlie’s life and wisdom by sharing something he wrote me in 2001: “Maybe we have a new version of Lord Acton’s law: easy money corrupts, and really easy money corrupts absolutely.”

Its greatest failure in the past eight years has been its inability to address the malaise shared by young people in Taiwan: long working hours, low pay, unaffordable housing, poor protection for renters, and a growing gulf between the mega-rich and everybody else.

“The first principle is that you must not fool yourself, and you are the easiest person to fool.” — Richard Feynman
“Perpetual optimism is a force multiplier.” — Colin Powell

And—this is the most important part—anytime you choose to help others, you activate this state. Caring for others triggers the biology of courage and creates hope.

Sometimes I’ll know exactly what I need to do in order to leave the bog, but I’m too afraid to do it. I’m afraid to tell the truth, or make someone mad, or take a risk. And so I dither, hoping that the future will not require me to be brave

In 1899, a promising young poet and would-be revolutionary dropped out of the theological seminary in Tbilisi, Georgia. He took with him 18 library books, for which the monks demanded payment of 18 roubles and 15 kopeks. When, 54 years later, the same voracious bookworm died, he had 72 unreturned volumes from the Lenin Library in Moscow on his packed shelves. At the time, the librarians probably had too many other issues with Josef Vissarionovich Dzhugashvili, aka Stalin, to worry about collecting his unpaid fines

Stalin not only read, quickly and hungrily: he claimed to devour 500 pages each day and, in the Twenties, ordered 500 new titles every year — not to mention the piles of works submitted to him by hopeful or fearful authors. He annotated with passion and vigour. Hundreds of volumes crawl with his distinctive markings and marginalia (the so-called pometki), their pages festooned with emphatic interjections: “ha ha”, “gibberish”, “rubbish”, “fool”, “scumbag”; and, more rarely, “agreed”, “spot on”, or the noncommittal doubt conveyed by the Russian “m-da”.

Buddhist texts speak of three kinds of gifts — material resources, sharing the Dharma with others, and non-fear, which is the greatest gift. Because bodhisattvas are free from fear, they can help many people. Non-fear is the greatest gift we can offer to those we love. – Thich Nhat Hanh

Religion is way to get a very good idea to cross over time

In a land of great rivers, the Volga is the river. They call it matushka, the mother; it flows from the Valdai Hills to the land of the Chuvash, the Tatars, the Cossacks, the Kalmyks, and into the Caspian Sea

Nietzsche’s first book, The Birth of Tragedy, in which he outlines his idea that great art involves the careful interplay between two core elements of the human psyche, the Apollonian (which promotes order, symmetry, and harmony) and the Dionysian (which stands for violent chaos and intoxication).

How to mentally jujitsu your brain

I thought this essay was a wonderful collection of thoughts, ideas, and strategies to get your brain working FOR you instead of against you. Sharing some favorite excerpts below:

Sometimes I’ll know exactly what I need to do in order to leave the bog, but I’m too afraid to do it. I’m afraid to tell the truth, or make someone mad, or take a risk. And so I dither, hoping that the future will not require me to be brave.

All of my effort is currently accounted for somewhere. If I want to spend more of it on something, I have to spend less of it on something else. If I’m consistently not getting something done, it’s probably because I don’t want to—at least, not enough to cannibalize that time from something else—and I haven’t admitted that to myself yet.

A good word for this is puppeteering: trying to solve your problems by controlling the actions of other humans. Puppeteering often looks attractive because other people’s actions seem silly and therefore easily changeable. Funnily enough, it doesn’t feel that way to them

Parents who want to get their kids into elite colleges have perfected the art of obsessing over tiny predictors. When I gave campus tours, I would run into them all the time: “Should my kid play the timpani or the oboe?” “How many semicolons can you use in the personal essay?” “Can we include dental records to demonstrate a history of good brushing?” The joke was on them, of course: stressing about all those tiny things only makes you anxious

Random facts — things I learned (Jan 12 2024) — Data about the past is truth, Data about the future is religion (Auren Hoffman)

Prior editions

The most important takehome is that tokens are not equity, but are more similar to paid API keys. Nevertheless, they may represent a >1000X improvement in the time-to-liquidity and a >100X improvement in the size of the buyer base relative to traditional means for US technology financing — like a Kickstarter on steroids

But entertainment is one market, the market for attention, and one platform is ahead of everyone else in harvesting the commodity: TikTok. The Chinese (and it is Chinese) company had the most ascendant platform in history until OpenAI, and it remains the frame through which Western youth perceive the world

The lesson to be learned from this is that it is often undesirable to go for the right thing first. It is better to get half of the right thing available so that it spreads like a virus. Once people are hooked on it, take the time to improve it to 90% of the right thing.

Like many people, I adhere to a religion that gives me moral guidance. The practice of it is just good sense—it keeps you out of prison and safely hidden in the crowd.

By approaching life with full consciousness, with vitality and intensity, by becoming the masters of our absurd fate — this is how we answer the question of suicide, how we defy futility and establish what it means to live.

The fun lies in tweaking things until they fit just right. Nothing can beat the feeling that happens after that.
And sometimes all it really takes is tweaking just one single thing to go from same same but different, to same same but right

The greater the doubt, the greater the dopamine

Our current “multiplayer” experiences draw too much attention to the multiplayer-ness. The other people around you demand attention. They move. They flash. They point to exactly what they’re focused on, drawing you away from your own focal point. We are missing out on a fuzzier, softer sense of the shared web.

“Memes are fun and memes are also something to come together around. Speculating on the popularity of memes and their staying power is no different than any other form of speculation… I’ve decided that I am going to stop ignoring and dismissing meme investing and start trying to understand it better. I think it is not something that is going away anytime soon and may turn into something even more interesting.” — Fred Wilson, AVC

Crypto is the modern version of the long emerging markets trade. As an industry, it will see the most relative capital inflows, budding innovation and has an innately global footprint. It provides a fiat currency debasement hedge (Bitcoin), new application networks akin to the internet (smart contract blockchains like Ethereum and Solana) and the fastest growing population. You can compare it to any individual sovereign, country or financial market and nothing beats it.

My whole North Star is how do I continue being able to learn, synthesize and teach forever. – Ali Abdaal

You can’t tell kids to follow their dreams when their dreams suck. – Palmer Luckey

Kardashev Type I: capable of controlling the entire energy from its planet
Kardashev Type II: capable of controlling the entire energy of its host star and travels through the solar system
Kardashev Type III: capable of controlling the energy at the scale of its entire galaxy

The barbaric life that I live, that you have to live, the almost obsession that you must have to be great, you can’t put that sh*t in a f*cking book, bro.” – David Goggins

Auren Hoffman:
Data about past = truth
Data about future = religion

Think ism is a disease. We can’t solve problems by thinking about them. You have to do and try things – Kevin Kelly

Price is the maximally compressed signal of economically relevant information.

New study found that tea consumption is associated with attenuation of biological aging.
People who consistently drank >4 cups a day aged 40% slower than those who drank none.

I’ve heard old-timers say that the fifth set has nothing to do with tennis. It’s true. The fifth set is about emotion and conditioning. Slowly I leave my body. Nice knowing you, body. I’ve had several out-of-body experiences over my career, but this one is healthy. I trust my skill, and I step out of its way.

The group is the basic user class for the tools we need today as a society, yet few pieces of software allow the squad as a whole to produce cooperatively and generate wealth together. To fully realize SQUAD CULTURE this must change

Startup valuation is literally a made up number

Having an internet audience is still wildly underpriced

Build products that no one asks for but everyone wants

Staying in conversation mode helps OpenAI thwart your goals. Remember that you’re not having a conversation with a sentient bot, you’re editing a shared document with a robotic LLM

Being entitled is the ugliest thing a person can be – Nolan Bushnell

Theodore Roosevelt: “Far and away the best prize that life has to offer is the chance to work hard at work worth doing.”

“Generalized trust” or “meta-trust” is “trust that whatever issues might arise between us, we can talk about things in a way that is workable for both of us and leads to issues getting resolved to our mutual satisfaction in good time.”

Money is the stored time and energy of other people

Offline, in the real world, OpenAI have designed a fictional character named ChatGPT who is supposed to have certain attributes and personality traits: it’s “helpful”, “honest”, and “truthful”, it is knowledgeable, it admits when it’s made a mistake, it tends towards relatively brief answers, and it adheres to some set of content policies

Since at least the time of peripatetic Greek philosophers, many other writers have discovered a deep, intuitive connection between walking, thinking, and writing. “How vain it is to sit down to write when you have not stood up to live!” Henry David Thoreau penned in his journal. “Methinks that the moment my legs begin to move, my thoughts begin to flow.” Thomas DeQuincey has calculated that William Wordsworth—whose poetry is filled with tramps up mountains, through forests, and along public roads—walked as many as a hundred and eighty thousand miles in his lifetime, which comes to an average of six and a half miles a day starting from age five

When Claude Shannon worked out the math, he found something very surprising: The formula for noise in an information system was identical to the formula for entropy in thermodynamics.

Our thesis at Variant is that the next generation of internet networks will turn users into owners—specifically asset owners. The internet enabled everyone to become a publisher, and similarly, crypto enables everyone to become an asset owner, and therefore, an investor. You don’t need capital to invest, you can invest your time or work by producing art, running machines, or doing physical work.

Resistance will unfailingly point to true North — meaning that calling or action it most wants to stop us from doing. We can use this. We can use it as a compass. We can navigate by Resistance, letting it guide us to that calling or action that we must follow before all others. Rule of thumb: The more important a call or action is to our soul’s evolution, the more Resistance we will feel toward pursuing it. – Steven Pressfield

Given that Japan is the largest holder of US Treasury bonds and the largest international creditor as viewed by its net international investment position, actions of the Japanese private sector could place enormous upward pressure on 10-year plus maturity US Treasury bond yields.
This is data from the IMF which estimates Japan’s net international investment position is a positive $3.3 trillion

The US is now spending materially more money on the national interest payment compared to our defense budget.
That is quite a feat considering we are handing out weapons and equipment around the world like it is candy, so our allies can fight our proxy wars.

Thich Nhat Hanh
-If you see a person and don’t also see his society, education, ancestors, culture, and environment, you have not really seen that person. Instead, you have been taken in by the sign of that person, the outward appearance of a separate self.
-We already are what we want to become. We don’t have to become someone else. All we have to do is be ourselves, fully and authentically. We don’t have to run after anything. We already contain the whole cosmos.

In the traditional art world, each niche subgenre of art (Andy Warhol, post WWII African art, etc.) ends up being cornered by a handful of collectors. That is also happening to the digital art market right now. In 2023 there were around six institutional buyers who spent at least seven figures buying all the grail digital art pieces.

“When you throw the impossible at them, that’s when they get excited” – Hans Zimmer

“Always want more but never be greedy” – Giannis

I want to live in a world where building a humanoid robot at home is like building a PC today

stop thinking of time as an abstraction: in reality, beginning the minute you are born, time is all you have. It is your only true commodity…To waste your time in battles not of your choosing is stupidity of the highest order.

TIL the black hole, TON 618, is so big (66 billion solar masses), a new term was invented to describe it: ultramassive black hole

Never discriminate as to whom you study and whom you trust. Never trust anyone completely and study everyone, including friends and loved ones.

Crypto is the machine’s body.
And AI is the brain that enters into it.

Having averted disaster, I’m suddenly loose, happy. It’s so typical in sports. You hang by a thread above a bottomless pit. You stare death in the face. Then your opponent, or life, spares you, and you feel so blessed that you play with abandon.

Could you make a “Large Solar Flares and Sunspots Model” (LSFASM) and learn to talk to the Sun and ask it where it might flare up next? How about a Large Oceanic Model that allows ships to talk to ocean currents? Or a Large History Model that works as a Prime Radiant for Asimovian psychohistory? Maybe a Large Climate Model constructed out of weather data can talk to us and supply strategies for climate change?

As the bicycle rolled across the world, critics followed, calling it dangerous because it startled horses and unbecoming for women, who had to wear traditionally male attire to ride (‘bloomers.’)
While some physicians argued cycling was healthy others linked it to insanity, deformities of the spine, face and even a cause for appendicitis. One insurance company even refused to insure avid bicycle riders, while one army recruitment office rejected applicants who were avid cyclists because it was assumed they had a weakened ‘bicycle heart.’

If an idiot were to tell you the same story every day for a year, you would end by believing it.
— Horace Mann

The Master said, “The firm, the enduring, the simple, and the modest are near to virtue.”

Nobody has the right to not be offended. That right doesn’t exist in any declaration I have ever read. ~ Salman Rushdie

Once a government is committed to the principle of silencing the voice of opposition, it has only one way to go, and that is down the path of increasingly repressive measures, until it becomes a source of terror to all its citizens and creates a country where everyone lives in fear.
~ Harry S. Truman


I stopped drinking caffeine this year.
It was incredibly difficult to do.
I used to drink a large Starbucks iced coffee each morning & a medium sized coffee mid-day.
That is ~ 300mg of caffeine.
How did I stop? — I went cold turkey one day. It really sucked. I had headaches, I was irritable, and generally felt horrible for about 10 days.
But the benefits made it all worth it. Here is what I’ve seen so far:
– More energy during the day
– Better sleep at night
– More hydrated skin
– Elevated mood
If you’re looking for something that could improve your life in 2024, highly recommend trying to cut out the caffeine drug.

Start or end every day with writing about your life. There’s always something buried underneath the to do list in your head, something you didn’t realise you felt, that when written down, will make everything clearer.

When thinking about new cities in the United States, Las Vegas comes to mind as the most populous city founded in the 1900’s. Since its founding, it has benefited from having a different set of rules than other places. With its legalized gambling, tolerated prostitution and mob activity historically funneling money into and around Vegas, it benefited massively from having different rulesets. But it is not exactly the type of example that inspires policymakers in other jurisdictions

After studying AI and attempting to model various types of financial decision making algorithmically, I realized that humans make decisions very much the same way that modern search engines do. We have vast stores of data — the experiences we’ve encountered in our lives — and we use very simple algorithms to make predictions and decide on actions. I recollect what happened in my past circumstances, and based upon that history of evidence, I’m going to extrapolate the likely outcome of the current situation and choose the best course of action.

An exhaustive and beautiful reminder of how good we got it (from Gwern)

I couldn’t help but feel waves of gratitude and nostalgia going through Gwern’s exhaustive list of all the ways that “many hassles have simply disappeared from my life, and nice new things appeared” since the mid 90s, which is around when I became a teenager, that is to say, semi-conscious and painfully self-aware.

Sharing a few of my favorites here.

Source: https://gwern.net/improvement

hotels and restaurants provide Public Internet Access by default, without nickel-and-diming customers or travelers; this access is usually via WiFi

Hygienic Mice: no longer needing to clean computer mice weekly thanks to laser mice

GPS: not getting lost while frantically driving down a freeway7⁠; or anywhere else, for that matter

Universal Storage: we no longer need to strategize which emails or photos or documents to delete to save space

having Fansubs available for all anime (no longer do anime clubs watch raw anime and have to debate afterwards what the plot was)

all cars have electrified Power Windows; I don’t remember the last time I had to physically crank down a car window

Clothing has become almost “too cheap to meter”, as the Industrial Revolution in textiles never stopped

the Shipping Speeds have dramatically improved, especially for low-cost tiers: consider Christmas shopping from a mail-order company or website in 1999 vs 2019—you used to have to order in early December to hope to get something by Christmas (25 December)

safe McDonald’s coffee which doesn’t explode in one’s lap while trapped in a car & causing disfiguring third-degree burns requiring skin grafts

even Mass-Market Grocery Stores like Walmart increasingly routinely stock an enormous variety of foods, from sushi to goat cheese to kefir