Podcast notes: Tim Urban (Wait But Why) on Lex Fridman

Lex Fridman interviews Tim Urban (writer of Wait But Why)

I wonder how small intelligent life gets – or how big

Humans operate at multiple social levels – can be independent individuals, and can be colonies / collectives

Humans are roughly in the middle of the biggest and smallest measurable things (biggest = observable universe; smallest = subatomic particles)

How many alien civilizations?
“Teeming with life”
Estimates of 27M intelligent civilizations in Milky Way alone
But we don’t observe any

Lex: Our understanding of intelligence and consciousness is very human centric – probably very limited and science is very young

No human can make a pencil by themselves

Tim: If a witch casts a spell on humanity and all material things disappears, goal is to make one working iPhone 13 and she’ll reverse the spell. How could we do it? Requires materials, factories, teams, tools

Think of how much work and infrastructure and invention required to just get food delivered to you at click of a few buttons

Elon says need 1M people on Mars to be truly multi planetary
Could be war in space for territory, tribalism (Mars v Earth)

America was first modern democracy and now there are many more – founders tried to make the ideal country

Tim: $10K bet that a human will set foot on Mars by 2030 – should be a massive global event
2030s will be new 1960s, new space decade
Greatest adventure in history – hopefully a great uniting event
SpaceX makes me proud to be a human

What makes Elon so successful?
Lots of people have his talents, but he’s sane in the way that everyone else is crazy
We’re not adapted to our modern hyper populated hyper connected world
He’s willing to question conventional wisdom, trust his reasoning
“He just does things his own way”

Hate is on the rise
Inputs are human nature (which doesn’t change much) + environment = behavior
Something in environment is changing = changing behavior
The good is getting better and the bad is getting worse
Feels like we’re headed toward an important fork between an incredible and a terrible future

“Political Disneyworld” – delusion where everything is good or evil, black or white
If you assemble highlight reel of your worst moments, you’ll seem like a terrible person
Everyone is worthy of both criticism and compassion

Our environment is bringing out really bad stuff
Rapidly changing environment = rapidly changing behavior, and wisdom is slow to catch up

Nuclear power is clearly a good option – antipathy towards it don’t seem rational or practical

Lex: lots of fear mongering going on

Tim: Balance of Higher mind + Primitive mind
When a topic riles up primitive mind, collectives become dumber than individual for self defense
Climate change has become a sacred topic – can’t handle constructive criticism
Covid / vaccines are same – sucked into a political whirlpool, into hands of primitive minds

Future has more and more complex problems, need more higher mind and less primitive mind

Opposite of echo chamber is an idea lab – need more idea labs (scientific process, new ideas, collective participation)

Stopped at 1h26m

Notes from 8 TED talks: Samina Ali, Tim Urban, Tom Chi, JJ Abrams, and more

I watched two TED talks on a flight yesterday, and then realized there were some old TED notes that I still hadn’t published. So here they are, in their scattered and collective glory. Some notes are thorough, and others are – at best – just passing scribbles.

Also, here’s my collection of 100+ TED talk notes. I haven’t updated this page in more than a year, but the notes (and talks themselves) are mostly evergreen.

Samina Ali: What Quran says about a Muslim woman’s hijab

  • 600AD – when woman awoke in middle of night, had to walk into dangerous territories to use restroom, group of men began to attack
  • if a woman wore a coat (status symbol) the woman was free and protected by her clan
  • if she dressed freely (didn’t wear a coat), or men knew she was a slave, men attacked her
  • Mohammed learned of situation, turned to God, and his verses were revealed
  • “draw upon yourselves the garments, so that she not be known, and molested”
  • idea was to have a conservative, uniform look among women, to make it hard to distinguish free from slave
  • in modern times, if wearing a veil leads to harassment, then it actually goes against the roots of why veils arose
  • The Qu’ran is 114 chapters and 6000+ verses
  • Only 3 refer to a woman’s dress: the one above, a second specifically about the Prophet’s wives, and a third which is specific to that time’s context – a scarf to wear on the head, which would cover exposed breasts
  • There is no mention of a woman’s veil
  • What “hijab” really means is “a barrier”, “a divide”, between human and divine, or between men and women
  • Women played an important and strong role in early Islamic and Arabic culture
  • Mohammed’s first wife was a successful CEO, import/export, hired Mohammed and eventually she proposed to him
  • His second wife rode into battle
  • Early women demanded to be part of Mohammed’s revolution
  • They even publicly debated with Mohammed himself
  • At that time, custom was for woman to select her husband, propose, and initiate divorce
  • Today, why does hijab = Muslim women, seclusion & isolation?
  • This isn’t an accident
  • Islamic clerics are responsible; they twisted and added words to Mohammed’s original verses (eg, they specified that the garment would be a veil, and exactly how long that veil should be)
  • They issued fatwas = legal rulings
  • Today Muslim women are heavily discriminated against
  • A woman only need finish elementary school
  • A woman must fulfill physical obligation to husband
  • Islam forbids a woman from wearing a bra
  • Sounds erotic, misogynous fantasy

Tom Chi: Everything is connected

  • Story of the Heart – blood transports hemoglobin and center of hemoglobin is iron; only way iron is created is supernovas, stars forming and exploding; most common formation of new stars is galactic collision, which itself is driven by gravity at the galactic level
  • Story of the Breath – 3B years ago, 80% nitrogen, not enough oxygen, but cyanobacteria came to rescue; slowly ozone layer forms, then multicellular life forms, then Cambrian Explosion; cyanobacteria descendants became chloroplasts in plants
  • Story of the Mind – piano invented in 1700; pianists use many parts of their brain to play; the piano, its brain patterns and music it produces, was not a thinkable thought until it was invented; like inventing a new color, like inventing computer science
  • “palette of being”
  • all spiritual positions have this same concept of connectedness

Adam Grant: The surprising habits of original thinkers

  • They’re quick to start, slow to finish
  • There’s a procrastination sweet spot for creativity, not too much, not too little
  • MLK’s famous “I have a dream” line for his speech wasn’t in his speech notes, it was likely improvised!
  • First mover advantage is largely a myth, improvers (followers) have a 5x lower failure rate
  • The opposite of deja vu is vujas de – surprising new idea and insight from seeing some old unoriginal thing in a new light
  • Firefox and Chrome users more creative than IE users, when normalizing for other variables because of one reason: they don’t accept the default (eg, IE comes pre-installed so it’s about questioning what you’re given and making a conscious choice)
  • Classical composers – one of the best predictors of success was sheer quantity of composition, how much output

Yuval Harari: Why humans run the world, a recap of his book Sapiens

  • What enables us to cooperate in such large numbers, and thus what separates us from every other species, is our imagination. Fictional stories from capitalism to religion
  • All about “flexible cooperation in large numbers”
  • Kevin’s note: this is the same as Karen Armstrong’s point that our chief religious faculty is imagination

Here are my highlights from reading Sapiens.

Amy Lockwood: Selling condoms in the Congo

  • The Congo is 2/3 the size of Western Europe
  • Sex workers’ hotel manager doesn’t sell condoms, there’s no demand, only 3% of DRC uses them
  • Despite similar prices and plenty of marketing, people don’t buy branded condoms, only generic
  • Branded messages: FEAR, FINANCING, FIDELITY
  • Generic messages: all about sex, nudity / sexuality, provocative, aspirational

JJ Abrams: The Mystery Box

  • Loved his grandfather who opened and studied electronics
  • Obsessed with letter printing and book binding
  • Loves boxes, even took apart his hotel’s Kleenex box
  • Was gifted a Super 8 camera at 10 years old
  • Bought Tannen’s Mystery Magic Box a long time ago, never opened it, memory of his grandfather
  • Damon Lindelof and him created Lost, had 11 weeks after writing to making a 2 hour pilot
  • What are stories but mystery boxes?
  • In TV the first act is called the teaser: “withholding information intentionally”
  • ET: you think it’s alien meets kids; but ET is really about heartbreaking divorce, same with Die Hard
  • Jaws: really about a guy dealing with his place in the world
  • Father to son: “C’mon…give us a kiss”. “Why?”. “Because I need it.”
  • The movie theater is another mystery box

Tim Urban: Inside the mind of a master procrastinator

  • Wrote a 90 page senior thesis in 3 days – was a terrible experience
  • Started waitbutwhy
  • Wrote about procrastination because it confused him
  • The Instant Gratification Monkey only cares about 2 things: what’s EASY and FUN
  • Dark playground – where leisure happens when it shouldn’t happen
  • Procrastinator has a guardian angel: The Panic Monster
  • The Panic Monster lies dormant until a deadline, or embarrassment, or career disaster
  • Everyone’s a procrastinator
  • The Monkey’s sneakiest trick is when the deadline isn’t there
  • “frustration isn’t that you’re not able to achieve your dreams, it’s that you’re not even able to start chasing them”

Tony Fadell: The first secret of great design

  • Steve Jobs hated when you opened a new gadget, and then you had to charge it before using
  • So he increased manufacturing time from 30 minutes to 2 hours to fully charge the battery so that when a customer opened the box, the gadget was ready to use
  • Habituation is incredibly powerful, but also because of it, you miss great opportunities
  • Built a custom screw for the Nest thermostat; it’s expensive, but easier to install on the wall
  • “Think younger”, kids haven’t been around long enough to be exposed to habits
  • “Stay beginners”